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COVER STORY




         Moving towards                                                          2020. However, for most market participants,
                                                                                 it is no surprise that a lower FiT is being con-
                                                                                 sidered,  according  to  Mr.  Henri  Wasnick,
                                                                                 Senior Advisor to the Renewable Energy Cen-
         completion                                                              ter of the Institute of Energy at MoIT.
                                                                                   It is important to understand that the FiT
                                                                                 mechanism has various factors that drive proj-
                                                                                 ect  realization,  he  explained.  Against  this
         With the newly-proposed wind FiT in dispute, the                        reality, the lower FiT, after a certain number
         government should extend support to developers to                       of installed capacities, could help steer initial
         ensure project realization.                                             project planning to high quality areas with a
                                                                                 minimum  necessary  wind  speed  and  good
                                                                                 possibilities for grid connection and land use
         T KHANH CHI  REPORTS                                                    rights. This, together with a scoring mechanism
                                                                                 in the form of a project development rating
                                                                                 that makes good projects “early movers”, can
                                                                                 support more feasible projects in the energy
                                                                                 mix to find an investor and reach the COD.
                                                                                   “The FiT is not the only decisive factor
                                                                                 for  project  due  diligence  or  for  projects  in
                                                                                 operation,” he said. “It is just one single piece
                                                                                 in a bigger picture of many factors in project
                                                                              PHOTO: VIET TUAN
                                                                                 realization. Bankable Power Purchase Agree-
                                                                                 ments  (PPAs),  project  due  diligence,  clear
                                                                                 administrative procedures, the political land-
                                                                                 scape, and so on are also taken into account
                                                                                 when investments are made.”
                                                                                   One  Thai  advisor  on  renewable  energy,
                                                                                 meanwhile, said wind developers would need
                                                                                 to conduct new feasibility studies to see if the
                                                                                 return on investment is still sufficiently attractive.
                                                                                 “Returns are related to revenue, which of course
                                                                                 will be reduced,” he told VET. “On the positive
                                                                                 side, however, the engineering, procurement,
                                                                                 and construction (EPC) cost may also be reduced
                                                                                 due to improvements in technology that make
                                                                                 the turbine size bigger, so the quantity of units
                                                                                 required could be reduced, which means con-
                                                                                 struction costs will also be reduced. Apart from
                                                                                 unit size, efficiency will also improve and more
                                                                                 electricity will be generated, resulting in improve-
                                                                                 ments to revenue.”
              ome  22  wind  power  projects  with  a  November this year and December 2023. This
              combined capacity of 907MW are set  represents a cut of more than 17 per cent for  Uncertainties linger
         S to  be  put  into  operation  in  central  onshore wind, one of the most dramatic seen  Professional developers can still find serious
         Quang Tri province by year’s end in order to  in any wind power market globally, according  investors even with the lower FiT, according
         meet the deadline for accessing the existing  to the Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC).   to Mr. Wasnick. “The reason why many projects
         Feed-in-Tariff (FiT) on wind power, under  “The proposed dramatic reduction to the  currently haven’t found an investor is not the
         which the commercial operations date (COD)  FiT risks seriously damaging the growth of  new FiT, it is because project quality is simply
         is  October  this  year  at  the  latest.  A  raft  of  Vietnam’s promising wind power sector, slow-  not good enough,” he said. “Such projects are
         wind power developers around the country  ing down investment and the creation of new  obstacles to the intended capacity of green
         have also been speeding up construction to  jobs  and  making  it  harder  for  Vietnam  to  energy in the energy mix. If they are identified
         get  projects  underway  this  year.  While  the  meet growing energy demand,” GWEC noted  by  ratings,  it  could  lead  to  more  feasible
         Ministry of Industry and Trade (MoIT) has  in a press release last December. “Based on  projects being included in the energy mix.”
         proposed continuing the FiT for wind power,  market  forecasts  and  experience  in  other  Wind power is to be the first chapter of
         it lowers it by over 17 per cent, which has  wind  markets,  a  FiT  reduction  of  this  size  Vietnam’s energy story to 2050, and the coun-
         triggered concern among wind power devel-  would derail investment in new and planned  try possesses excellent wind resources and
         opers in the country.               wind projects in Vietnam and threaten the  skilled developers and technicians who can
                                             country’s current position as a leading wind  deliver reliable clean electricity for more sus-
         Good or bad?                        market in Southeast Asia.”          tainable  economic  growth.  “This  proposal
           The  proposed  new  FiT,  included  in  an  The current wind energy FiT, which will  follows a trend of rapid reductions in incentives
         official letter from MoIT last October, will be  end with the COD in October, has attracted  offered  to  power  producers  in  Vietnam’s
         7.02 US cents per kWh for onshore wind and  various  market  players.  The  first  draft  for  renewables market,” said Mr. Gavin Smith,
         8.47 US cents for inter-tidal / nearshore wind,  the third FiT for wind onshore and nearshore  Vice Chairman of EuroCham’s Green Growth
         applicable to projects commissioned between  has been under discussion since the end of  Sector Committee (GGSC). “The cost of pro-



         26 | VIETNAM ECONOMIC TIMES | MARCH 2021
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