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COVER STORY





          IMPORT AND EXPORT TURNOVER, 2013 - 2021 ($ BILLION)
                                                                                          336.25
             Exports    Imports                                                                   332.25


                                                                                   254.98
                                                                          223.9
                                                                195.4         216.33   234.79
                                                                    192.88
                                                       195.4 157.8
                                    138.33 151.33  160.03 157.8
                           137.36 134.06
                  120.49 119.9





                   2013      2014     2015      2016     2017     2018      2019    2020      2021




                                                                                     Source: General Statistics Office (GSO)



      -  $109.9 billion, up 30.5 per cent year-on-  at  the  beginning  of  the  year,  which  will  own  domestic  markets,”  he  explained.
         year, followed by South Korea with $56.1  give an added boost to Vietnam’s exports.  “Therefore, there is no one specific sector
         billion, up 19.6 per cent.            One  factor  likely  to  impact  export  driving  growth  in  imports  and  exports.
           Mr. Hong Sun, Vice Chairman of the  prospects  is  rising  logistic  costs,  though  rather, each side has its respective strengths
         Korean Chamber of Commerce and Indus-  they  are  expected  to  normalize  starting  and these are behind the rise in bilateral
         try (KorCham), said that trade cooperation  from the end of 2021 thanks to Vietnam’s  trade.” For instance, Vietnamese exports
         is a spearhead field and the relationship  high vaccination rate and an easing in con-  of coffee, seafood, footwear, textiles, and


         between Vietnam and South Korea con-  tainer shortages. Stable logistics costs will  machine  parts  are  in  high  demand  in
         tinues to rapidly develop. “Since the free  create favorable conditions for Vietnamese  Europe. Machinery and appliances alone

         trade agreement between the two countries  enterprises  to  boost  exports  throughout  made up over 50 per cent of Vietnamese


         took effect, bilateral trade has continued   2022,  especially  to  the  uS  and  the  Eu.  exports  to  Europe  in  2020,  representing
         to increase,” he added.            “We expect Vietnam’s exports to maintain  more  than  €18  billion  ($20.4  billion)  in
           Mr. Alain Cany, Chairman of the Euro-  a high rate, growing 12.5 per cent year-on-  value.  Footwear  and  textiles  made  up  a
         pean Chamber of Commerce in Vietnam  year  in  2022,”  a  VnDirect  report  noted.  further 20 per cent, or €7 billion ($7.9 bil-
         (EuroCham), told VET that Eu-Vietnam  “Exports will continue to be the main growth  lion). The largest European exports to Viet-
         trade remained robust in 2021 despite the  engine for the Vietnamese economy.”  nam, meanwhile, included pharmaceutical
         significant and widespread challenges of  In  terms  of  goods,  when  Covid-19  is  products, chemicals, and transport equip-
         doing business during a global pandemic.  brought  under  control,  fishers,  farmers,  ment. “Demand for European goods and
         “One reason for this is the implementation  and businesses will boost output and export  services will continue to grow as Vietnam’s
         last summer of the Eu-Vietnam Free Trade  turnover of seafood, according to VnDirect.  economic success creates a larger middle-
         Agreement (EuVFTA),” he said.      Analysts also expect that the performance  class consumer market,” Mr. Cany said.

           Vietnam’s export activities also saw many  of Vietnam’s textile and garment industry  Mr.  Hong  Sun  said  that  trade  and

         advantages  in  December,  according  to  in 2022 will depend on recovery in the uS  investment between Vietnam and South

         MoIT. Countries around the world, especially  and  the  Eu.  The  Vietnam  Textile  and  Korea will develop in many fields, from
         key  export  markets  for  Vietnam  such  as  Apparel Association (VITAS) has forecast  traditional endeavors such as textiles and
         the uS and the Eu, implemented plans to  that textile and garment export turnover  garments, bags, and shoes to electronics
         reopen, introduce vaccine passports, reor-  will reach $38 billion in 2022, up 8.5 per  such as household appliances, with a focus




         ganize economic, cultural, and social activ-  cent, and $43 billion in 2023, up 13.1 per  on mobile phone manufacturing and large-
         ities, and open up tourism, with demand  cent. Wood exports will continue to grow  scale investments in key industries such
         for Vietnam’s exports to increase as a result.  well, thanks to significant increases in the  as agriculture-forestry-fisheries and energy.
         Market demand is also rising because of  uS, China, and Japan. Steel demand will  According to the MoIT, the number of
         end-of-year  shopping,  especially  goods  remain  high  during  the  first  quarter  of  people being vaccinated and the pace of
         where Vietnam holds advantages, pushing  2022,  as  major  economies  promote  the  the  campaign  is  increasing  in  Vietnam.
         up the annual export turnover figure.  disbursement of public investment, espe-  Thanks  to  the  effectiveness  of  its  anti-
                                            cially the uS. China has also reduced steel  pandemic measures, Vietnam has enjoyed
         LOOKING TO 2022                    production and restricted exports, to ensure  a  relatively  long  period  organizing  pro-
           The  prospects  for  Vietnam’s  exports  it meets its emission reduction target.  duction, preparing sources of goods, and
         this  year  are  extremely  promising  given  Mr. Cany said that a strength of Eu-  exporting and importing to be ready for
         that global trade is expected to continue  Vietnam trade is the fact that both markets  the  “new  normal”.  Its  FTAs,  especially
         to  recover,  according  to  VnDirect.  The  complement one another. “In other words,  new-generation  FTAs,  have  passed  the
         regional Comprehensive Economic Part-  we  each  produce  goods  that  the  other  initial stage of implementation, and busi-
         nership (rCEP) is due to come into effect  either cannot or does not produce in their  nesses have gradually adapted to commit-


         12 | VIETNAM ECONOMIC TIMES | JAnuAry 2022                                            www.en.vneconomy.vn
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